Spring is here, and the rigours of winter are a thing of the past. Since my last letter, there have been regional elections which have been a sharp reminder of the fact that even with a weakened and divided socialist party, the President can falter and seem vulnerable. Few could have imagined that Mr Sarkozy could be in such difficulties only three years after his overwhelming victory in the presidential election. Not only has his party lost control of Corsica, meaning that they now hold only the Alsace regional assembly, but there are serious divisions in his own ranks. His re-election that seemed a matter of course just a year ago could now be seriously in doubt.
His response has been to return to the policies that brought him success in 2007: a proposed law against the burka (which will be debated under emergency procedures, although it is hard to see the urgency since it concerns a very small number of people); above all a renewed drive on law and order. Sometimes it seems as though those who will be most directly affected by these measures do their best to help their introduction: a woman wearing a burka was arrested driving a car (it turns out that she is one of four wives, thereby stoking the debate on polygamy and social security payments), and now there has been a spate of violent attacks on bus drivers.
It remains to be seen how the law and order rhetoric will help: since Mr. Sarkozy has been president for three years, and was minister for the interior before that, the polemic could turn against him. Be that as it may, the result will be very predictable: calls for yet more “repression”, severer jail sentences and so on. Given the fact that the prison population is already out of control, and that France has been condemned in European courts for its treatment of remand prisoners (preventive custody seems sometimes to be used as a form of punishment) the impact on the prisons themselves will be dire, especially if there is a hot summer.
My thoughts have turned to the question of prison following a remarkable interview with Michel Vaujour in a recent edition of Le Monde des Religions. This man spent 27 years in custody, 17 of them in solitary confinement. Initially condemned for a series of minor offenses committed when he was very young, a series of spectacular escapes led to longer and longer sentences, with the result that at 25 years of age he had already accumulated a sentence of 25 years.